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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Natural Resources

An investor holds a fully collateralized long position in a crude oil futures contract. Over one year the spot price rises 4.0%, the roll yield is −3.0% and the collateral yield is 2.0%. The total return on the position is closest to:

The total return is about 3.0%. A fully collateralized futures return is the sum of spot return, roll yield and collateral yield: 4.0% plus −3.0% plus 2.0% equals 3.0%. Treating the negative roll yield as positive gives 9.0%, and omitting collateral gives 1.0%.

  1. A−1.0%
  2. B3.0%Correct
  3. C9.0%

Explanation

Total return = spot return + roll yield + collateral yield = 4.0% − 3.0% + 2.0% = 3.0%. The 9.0% option adds the roll yield as positive. The −1.0% option omits the collateral return.

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