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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Natural Resources

An investor holds a fully collateralized long position in crude oil futures. Over one year the spot price rises 4.0%, the roll return is -3.0% and the collateral earns 2.5%. The total return is closest to:

The total return is about 3.5%. Add the spot return of 4.0%, the negative roll return of 3.0% and the collateral return of 2.5%. Treating the roll return as positive would give 9.5%, which is wrong.

  1. A-1.5%
  2. B3.5%Correct
  3. C9.5%

Explanation

Total return = spot 4.0% + roll (-3.0%) + collateral 2.5% = 3.5%. The 9.5% option adds the roll return with the wrong sign (4.0+3.0+2.5). The -1.5% option subtracts the collateral return.

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