NISM Certifications · NISM-Series-X-A: Investment Adviser (Level 1) · Investing in Fixed Income Securities
Caselet: Ms. Kapoor holds a bond with a Macaulay duration of 5 years, a yield to maturity of 10% compounded annually, and a market price of Rs 1,000. She fears yields will rise by 0.5 percentage points (from 10% to 10.5%). Using modified duration, what is the approximate change in price?
The price falls by about Rs 22.7. Modified duration equals Macaulay duration of 5 divided by 1.10, or 4.545. Multiplying by the 0.5% yield rise and the Rs 1,000 price gives an estimated decline of roughly Rs 22.73.
- AFall of about Rs 22.7Correct
- BFall of about Rs 25.0
- CRise of about Rs 22.7
- DFall of about Rs 2.27
Explanation
Modified duration = 5/1.10 = 4.545. Price change ≈ -4.545 × 0.005 × 1,000 = -Rs 22.73. Using Macaulay duration directly gives Rs 25, which ignores division by (1+y). A rise in yield cannot raise price.
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