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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Multivariate Random Variables

Discrete random variables X and Y have P(X=1)=0.40 and P(Y=1)=0.25. If X and Y are independent, what is P(X=1 or Y=1)?

The probability is 0.55. Under independence the joint probability is 0.40 times 0.25, which is 0.10. Adding the two marginals gives 0.65, and subtracting the double-counted overlap of 0.10 leaves 0.55.

  1. A0.65
  2. B0.55Correct
  3. C0.10
  4. D0.35

Explanation

Independence gives P(both)=0.40×0.25=0.10. P(X=1 or Y=1)=0.40+0.25−0.10=0.55. Option 0.65 ignores the overlap subtraction.

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