FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
In a market-model regression of a stock's returns on the market's returns, the estimated intercept is 0.5% per month and the beta is 1.1. Which interpretation of the intercept is most appropriate when the regression uses excess returns?
The intercept is Jensen's alpha: the stock's average excess return when the market's excess return is zero. A positive 0.5% monthly alpha means the stock earned more than CAPM predicts for its beta. It does not measure systematic risk, correlation or the risk-free rate.
- AIt is the stock's average excess return when the market's excess return is zero, interpreted as Jensen's alphaCorrect
- BIt is the stock's systematic risk
- CIt is the correlation between the stock and the market
- DIt is the risk-free rate per month
Explanation
With excess returns, the intercept is the expected excess return when the market excess return is zero, which is Jensen's alpha. A positive value indicates return above that predicted by CAPM. It is not a risk or correlation measure.
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