IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Statistics · Generalised linear models
In a Poisson GLM, an observation has y = 9 and fitted mean μ = 4. Compute the Pearson residual and the deviance residual. Which pair is correct (to two decimals)?
The Pearson residual is (9−4)/√4 = 2.50. The unit deviance is 2[9 ln(9/4) − 5] ≈ 4.597, so the deviance residual is its positive square root, about 2.14. The pair 2.50 and 2.14 is therefore correct.
- APearson 2.50, deviance 2.14Correct
- BPearson 2.50, deviance 2.58
- CPearson 1.25, deviance 2.14
- DPearson 5.00, deviance 2.14
- Pearson 2.50, deviance 4.58
Explanation
Pearson = (9−4)/√4 = 2.50. Unit deviance d = 2[9 ln(9/4) − (9−4)] = 2[9×0.81093 − 5] = 2[7.2984 − 5] = 4.5968. Deviance residual = +√4.5968 = 2.144. Pearson dividing by μ instead of √μ would give 1.25, a wrong-base error.
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