CMA Final · Risk Management in Banking and Insurance · Sovereign Risk and Insolvency Risk
In the context of sovereign risk, 'transfer risk' refers to the possibility that:
Transfer risk is the chance that a solvent borrower cannot convert local currency into foreign currency or remit funds abroad because the host government imposes exchange controls or payment restrictions. It is a component of country risk and differs from the borrower's own ability to pay.
- AA government's credit rating is revised upward by an agency
- BA borrower in a country cannot convert local currency into foreign currency or remit it abroad because of official restrictions, even though it is otherwise solventCorrect
- CA bank's trading book loses value because of a rise in domestic interest rates
- DA foreign subsidiary's profits are reduced by a change in accounting standards
Explanation
Transfer risk arises when a country imposes exchange controls or moratoria that block foreign-currency remittances by otherwise solvent borrowers. Rating upgrades are not a risk, and the interest rate and accounting options describe market risk and reporting effects instead.
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