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CMA Final · Strategic Financial Management · Risks in Financial Market

Kaveri Ltd has a Rs 80 crore one-day 99% VaR of Rs 4 crore for a bond book, using z = 2.33 at 99%. Assuming returns are independent and identically distributed, what is the approximate 10-day 99% VaR (use square root of time, sqrt10 = 3.162)?

The 10-day VaR is about Rs 12.65 crore. With independent identically distributed returns, risk scales with the square root of time, so the one-day VaR of Rs 4 crore is multiplied by 3.162. Multiplying by 10 would overstate it.

  1. ARs 40.00 crore
  2. BRs 12.65 croreCorrect
  3. CRs 9.32 crore
  4. DRs 4.00 crore

Explanation

Under the square-root-of-time rule, 10-day VaR = 1-day VaR x sqrt(10) = 4 x 3.162 = Rs 12.65 crore. Rs 40 crore wrongly multiplies by 10 (linear scaling). Rs 9.32 crore wrongly multiplies by 2.33 again.

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