ACCA Strategic Professional · Strategic Business Leader · Financial analysis and decision-making techniques
Marlow Pharma is considering a project costing $300,000 now. It is expected to generate net cash inflows of $120,000 at the end of each of years 1 to 4. Cash inflows arise evenly across each year. The board uses a payback cut-off of 3 years. Which statement is correct about the simple payback result and its main limitation?
Payback is 2.5 years: $240,000 is recovered by the end of year 2 and the remaining $60,000 is half of year 3's $120,000 inflow. The project meets the 3-year cut-off, but payback ignores the time value of money and cash flows after the payback point.
- APayback is 2.5 years, so it is accepted, but it ignores the time value of money and cash flows after paybackCorrect
- BPayback is 2.5 years, so it is accepted, and it is therefore reliable because it considers all cash flows
- CPayback is 3.0 years, so it is rejected, since the project must be completed within the cut-off
- DPayback is 3.5 years, so it is rejected, because the final year's cash flow is excluded
Explanation
Cumulative inflows are $120,000, $240,000 and $360,000 after years 1, 2 and 3. The remaining $60,000 needed after year 2 is half of year 3's $120,000, giving 2.5 years. This is within the 3-year cut-off. Payback's key weaknesses are that it ignores discounting and cash flows after the payback point.
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