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ACCA Strategic Professional · Strategic Business Reporting (International) · Income taxes

Orion Group has an uncertain tax treatment where there is a wide range of possible outcomes, such as settlement amounts of $0, $200,000, $500,000 and $800,000 with differing probabilities. Which measurement method is IFRIC 23 likely to regard as better predicting the resolution of the uncertainty?

Expected value is likely the better method, because it sums probability-weighted outcomes across a wide range of possible results. The most likely amount is more suitable where outcomes are binary or concentrated on one value. The entity picks whichever method better predicts how the uncertainty will be resolved.

  1. AThe most likely amount, being the single outcome with the highest probability
  2. BThe expected value, being the sum of probability-weighted amountsCorrect
  3. CThe minimum amount that is virtually certain to be paid
  4. DThe amount claimed in the return, until the authority challenges it

Explanation

IFRIC 23 allows the entity to use whichever method better predicts resolution. The expected value is appropriate where there is a range of possible outcomes that are not binary or clustered. The most likely amount suits binary outcomes or those concentrated on one value. A virtual certainty threshold is not in the interpretation.

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