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CS Professional · Strategic Management and Corporate Finance · Project Evaluation

Project X: outlay Rs 6,00,000; inflows Rs 3,00,000, Rs 3,00,000, Rs 1,00,000, Rs 1,00,000, Rs 1,00,000 over five years. Project Y: same outlay; inflows Rs 1,00,000, Rs 2,00,000, Rs 3,00,000, Rs 4,00,000, Rs 5,00,000. Which statement is correct?

Project X pays back in 2 years and Project Y in 3 years, so payback favours X. This shows payback's weakness: it ignores cash flows after the cut-off, where Y earns much more in total.

  1. ABoth have the same payback period, so payback ranks them equally and reveals no drawback of the method
  2. BProject Y has the shorter payback, and payback ignores Project X's faster early recovery
  3. CProject X has payback of 2 years and Y of 3 years, so payback prefers X even though Y has larger later inflowsCorrect
  4. DProject X has payback of 3 years and Y of 4 years, so payback prefers Y

Explanation

X: 3,00,000 + 3,00,000 = 6,00,000 by year 2, so payback is 2 years. Y: cumulative 1, 3, 6 lakh, so payback is 3 years. Payback prefers X while ignoring that Y's total inflows (Rs 15,00,000 vs Rs 9,00,000) are far larger, illustrating its neglect of cash flows after payback.

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