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CMA Final · Strategic Financial Management · Options

Shares of Narmada Steel trade at ₹200. In one period the price may rise to ₹240 or fall to ₹160. A one-period call has strike ₹210. The risk-free rate is 5% for the period. Using the risk-neutral probability method, what is the call value (nearest rupee-paise)?

The risk-neutral probability of an up move is 0.625, expected payoff is 18.75, and discounting at 5% gives about ₹17.86. Ignoring discounting or using probability 0.5 gives different, incorrect values.

  1. A₹14.29Correct
  2. B₹15.00
  3. C₹30.00
  4. D₹12.50

Explanation

Up factor 1.2, down 0.8. p = (1.05 − 0.8)/(1.2 − 0.8) = 0.625. Payoffs: up 30, down 0. Expected = 0.625×30 = 18.75; discounted = 18.75/1.05 = ₹17.86. Hence none of the stated options matches exactly; correct value is ₹17.86.

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