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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Economic Modelling · Measures of investment risk

The 1-day 99% VaR of a portfolio is ₹5 crore. Assuming normally distributed, independent daily losses with zero mean, which is the 10-day 99% VaR using the square root of time rule?

Under independent, zero-mean normal daily losses, VaR scales with the square root of time. The 10-day VaR is 5 × √10, about ₹15.81 crore. Multiplying by 10 would wrongly assume perfect correlation between daily losses.

  1. A50.00 crore
  2. B15.81 croreCorrect
  3. C5.00 crore
  4. D25.00 crore
  5. 7.91 crore

Explanation

With independent zero-mean normal losses, the standard deviation scales with √10, so VaR scales the same way: 5 × 3.1623 = 15.81 crore. Multiplying by 10 ignores diversification across days.

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