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ACCA Strategic Professional · Advanced Financial Management · Application of option pricing theory in investment decisions

The monthly standard deviation of continuously compounded returns on a comparator company's shares is 4.0%. Assuming returns are independent between months, what annualised volatility should be used in the Black-Scholes model?

Annualised volatility is 13.86%. Volatility grows with the square root of time, so the monthly standard deviation of 4.0% is multiplied by the square root of 12, about 3.464. Multiplying by 12 would overstate it as 48%.

  1. A13.86%Correct
  2. B48.00%
  3. C1.15%
  4. D3.46%

Explanation

Volatility scales with the square root of time. Annual volatility = 4.0% x √12 = 4.0% x 3.4641 = 13.86%. Multiplying by 12 gives 48%, which wrongly scales linearly. Dividing by √12 gives 1.15%, which converts in the wrong direction.

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