ACCA Strategic Professional · Advanced Financial Management · The use of financial derivatives to hedge against interest rate risk
The yield curve is steeply upward sloping. A company with a floating-rate loan is considering swapping into fixed rate. According to the expectations theory of the term structure, what does the upward slope imply?
Under expectations theory, an upward-sloping yield curve means the market expects short-term interest rates to rise. Long-term yields reflect the average of expected future short-term rates, so higher long yields signal anticipated increases in short rates.
- AThe market expects short-term interest rates to rise in futureCorrect
- BThe market expects short-term interest rates to fall in future
- CInvestors demand no premium for holding long-term bonds
- DLong-term bonds are always less risky than short-term bonds
Explanation
Under the expectations theory, long-term rates are the average of expected future short rates, so an upward slope implies rising expected short rates. Falling rates would produce a downward slope. The statement about no premium is not an implication, and long bonds carry more price risk.
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