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CMA Final · Risk Management in Banking and Insurance · Credit Risk Management

Under the Basel framework, which of the following is the correct formula for Expected Loss (EL) on a credit exposure?

Expected Loss equals Probability of Default multiplied by Loss Given Default multiplied by Exposure at Default. Each component scales the loss, so they are multiplied together. Adding or dividing them would not give a rupee loss estimate for the exposure.

  1. APD × LGD × EADCorrect
  2. BPD × EAD ÷ LGD
  3. CLGD × EAD ÷ PD
  4. DPD + LGD + EAD

Explanation

Expected loss is the product of the probability of default, the loss given default and the exposure at default. The other forms either divide or add the components, which has no basis in credit risk measurement. For example, PD 2%, LGD 50%, EAD 100 gives EL of 1.

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