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CA Foundation · Business Economics · Business Cycles

Which of the following best describes how economists measure the turning points of business cycles using a composite approach?

Business cycle turning points are measured by combining several leading, coincident and lagging indicators into composite indices. Using many series captures broad-based movements in economic activity, whereas a single variable like the stock index, exchange rate or population growth would give an incomplete or misleading picture.

  1. ABy combining several leading, coincident and lagging indicators into indicesCorrect
  2. BBy observing only the movement of the stock market index
  3. CBy measuring only the rate of population growth
  4. DBy tracking only the exchange rate of the rupee

Explanation

Measurement of business cycles relies on composite indices built from many indicators classified as leading, coincident and lagging. A single series such as the stock index or exchange rate cannot capture the broad-based movement of activity. Population growth is a slow structural variable, not cyclical.

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