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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis · Elementary principles of machine learning

Which of the following is an example of a regression task, as opposed to a classification task, in a supervised learning setting?

Predicting the rupee amount of a claim is regression because the target is a continuous numerical value. Lapse prediction and severity bands are classification, while clustering and principal components analysis are unsupervised techniques with no target.

  1. APredicting whether a policyholder will lapse (yes or no)
  2. BAssigning a claim to one of three severity bands
  3. CPredicting the rupee amount of a claim from policy featuresCorrect
  4. DGrouping policyholders into similar clusters
  5. Reducing 40 rating factors to two principal components

Explanation

Regression predicts a continuous numerical target, such as a claim amount. Lapse and severity band are categorical outcomes (classification), while clustering and principal components are unsupervised.

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