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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Credit Analysis for Government Issuers

Which of the following is most likely to increase a sovereign's willingness to honor its foreign currency debt?

Large expected gains from continued access to international capital markets most likely increase willingness to pay, because default would forfeit those benefits. A history of repudiation and weak contract-respecting institutions signal lower willingness to honor debt.

  1. AA history of repudiating debt after changes in government
  2. BLarge expected gains from continued access to international capital marketsCorrect
  3. CWeak domestic institutions with little respect for contracts

Explanation

Willingness to pay rises when default would impose high costs, such as loss of market access. Repudiation history and weak institutions signal lower willingness to pay.

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