IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis · Estimation procedures for lifetime distributions
Which statement about the Kaplan-Meier estimate of the survival function is correct?
The Kaplan-Meier estimator is a step function that falls only at observed death times, each time by the fraction of deaths to the number at risk, while censored lives simply leave the risk set afterwards.
- AIt is a smooth curve that changes at every censoring time
- BIt is a step function that drops only at observed death times, with each drop based on deaths divided by the number at riskCorrect
- CIt requires every life to be observed until death
- DIt ignores lives censored before the first death
- It is a step function that drops at censoring times only
Explanation
Kaplan-Meier is the product of (1 - d_i/n_i) over death times. It changes only at deaths, while censored lives leave the risk set without causing a drop. Censored lives therefore still contribute to n_i until they leave.
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