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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Statistics · Generating functions

X has MGF M(t) = (1 - 2t)^(-3), t < 0.5, and Y = 2X + 1. What is the variance of Y?

X is gamma with shape 3 and scale 2, so Var(X) = 3 x 4 = 12. Then Var(2X + 1) = 4 x 12 = 48. Option 96 is wrong and 12 forgets the multiplier.

  1. A24
  2. B48
  3. C96Correct
  4. D12
  5. 49

Explanation

X is Gamma(alpha = 3, rate 0.5), scale 2. Var(X) = alpha x scale^2 = 3 x 4 = 12. Var(Y) = 4 x 12 = 48. Check via cumulants: ln M = -3 ln(1-2t), second derivative at 0 = 3 x 4 = 12. So Var(Y) = 48.

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