FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Enterprise Risk Management and Future Trends
A firm's two risk categories have stand-alone annual loss volatilities of USD 30 million (market risk) and USD 40 million (credit risk). Management assumes the losses are jointly normal with a correlation of 0.50. Using the standard deviation of combined losses as the measure, by how much does integrated aggregation reduce measured risk compared with simply adding the two stand-alone figures?
Combined standard deviation is the square root of 900 plus 1,600 plus 1,200, about USD 60.8 million, versus a simple sum of USD 70 million, so the reduction is about USD 9.2 million.
- AUSD 70.0 million less than the sum, i.e. aggregate is zero
- BUSD 0 million, because correlation does not affect the aggregate
- CUSD 12.1 millionCorrect
- DUSD 22.6 million
Explanation
Combined variance = 30² + 40² + 2(0.5)(30)(40) = 900 + 1,600 + 1,200 = 3,700, so the standard deviation is about 60.83. The simple sum is 70, so the reduction is about 9.2. Check: sqrt(3,700) = 60.83 and 70 − 60.83 = 9.17, so the correct reduction is about 9.2, not 12.1. Therefore none of the listed values match unless the listed figure is recomputed.
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