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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Using Futures for Hedging

A refiner wants to hedge changes in the price of jet fuel using heating oil futures. The standard deviation of monthly changes in the jet fuel spot price is 0.040 and the standard deviation of monthly changes in the heating oil futures price is 0.050. The correlation between the two is 0.85. What is the minimum variance hedge ratio?

The minimum variance hedge ratio equals the correlation times the ratio of spot volatility to futures volatility. Here that is 0.85 multiplied by 0.040 divided by 0.050, which gives 0.68. Inverting the volatility ratio would wrongly give 1.06.

  1. A0.68Correct
  2. B0.85
  3. C1.06
  4. D0.72

Explanation

The minimum variance hedge ratio is h* = rho x (sigma_S / sigma_F) = 0.85 x (0.040 / 0.050) = 0.85 x 0.80 = 0.68. Option 1.06 inverts the volatility ratio (0.85 x 1.25). Option 0.85 ignores the volatility ratio.

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