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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Statistics · Linear regression models

A regression through five points gives residual sum of squares 18 for the model y = α + βx + ε with errors N(0, σ²). What is the unbiased estimate of σ²?

The unbiased variance estimate is the residual sum of squares divided by n − 2, since two parameters are fitted. That is 18 divided by 3, which equals 6.0.

  1. A3.6
  2. B6.0Correct
  3. C4.5
  4. D9.0
  5. 18.0

Explanation

Two parameters are estimated, so the degrees of freedom are n − 2 = 3. The unbiased estimate is 18/3 = 6.0. Dividing by n gives 3.6, and dividing by n − 1 gives 4.5, both biased.

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