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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Statistics · Linear regression models

A researcher adds a further explanatory variable to a fitted linear regression model with an intercept. Which statement is certainly true?

R² cannot decrease when a variable is added, because least squares can always reproduce the earlier fit by setting the new coefficient to zero, so SSE does not rise. Adjusted R² and F may fall, and residual degrees of freedom decrease.

  1. AR² cannot increase
  2. BR² cannot decreaseCorrect
  3. CAdjusted R² cannot decrease
  4. DThe residual degrees of freedom increase
  5. The F statistic must increase

Explanation

Adding a variable can never raise SSE under least squares, since the earlier model is a special case with coefficient zero, so R² cannot decrease. Adjusted R² can fall because of the df penalty, residual df decrease by one, and F can fall.

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