FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · VaR Mapping
A US bank is long a 1-year forward contract to buy GBP 10 million. The spot rate is USD 1.30 per GBP, the 1-year GBP interest rate is 3% and the 1-year USD interest rate is 4% (annual compounding). When the forward is mapped to risk factors, what is the USD-equivalent present value of the long GBP zero-coupon bond leg, which is the position exposed to the GBP/USD spot risk factor?
The long GBP leg equals GBP 10 million discounted at the GBP rate of 3%, giving GBP 9.7087 million, then converted at spot 1.30 to about USD 12.62 million. Discounting must use the foreign rate before conversion at spot.
- AUSD 13.00 million
- BUSD 12.50 million
- CUSD 12.62 millionCorrect
- DUSD 13.13 million
Explanation
The foreign leg is the PV of GBP 10m at the GBP rate: 10/1.03 = GBP 9.7087m. Converted at spot 1.30 this gives USD 12.62m. Using USD 13.00m ignores discounting. Discounting 13.00m at the USD rate gives 12.50m, which uses the wrong rate. USD 13.13m is the undiscounted forward-rate amount payable at maturity (1.3126 x 10m).
Did you get it right without looking?
One question tells you little. A timed set on VaR Mapping shows your real accuracy, how long you take and where you lose marks.
More VaR Mapping questions
- A desk is short options on 20,000 shares of a stock. Per share, the net position has a delta of +0.10 and a gamma of -0.80. A risk analyst d…
- A risk manager at an asset management firm has a portfolio of 400 individual equities and wants to estimate its VaR. Rather than modeling ea…
- A portfolio's present value of USD 20 million is mapped to two vertices. The 1-year vertex has 95% VaR of 0.40% of value, the 2-year vertex …
- A risk manager wants to estimate the VaR of a well-diversified portfolio of 200 US equities. Rather than modelling each stock separately, sh…
- A firm holds a USD 50 million notional pay-fixed, receive-floating swap just after a floating reset, so the floating leg is priced like a bo…
- A manager holds $6 million of stock A (beta 1.5) and $4 million of stock B (beta 0.5). She wants to cut the portfolio beta to 0.5 by selling…