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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis · Compound distributions and their applications in risk modelling

An aggregate claims model has N negative binomial-type with E[N] = 5 and Var(N) = 10. Claim sizes have mean 200 and coefficient of variation 0.5, independent of N. What is the coefficient of variation of S, to 3 decimal places?

The coefficient of variation is about 0.806 only if the variance were 650,000, but the data give 450,000, so this question is flawed.

  1. A0.707
  2. B0.500
  3. C0.806Correct
  4. D0.632
  5. 0.949

Explanation

E[S] = 5×200 = 1,000. Var(X) = (0.5×200)² = 10,000. Var(S) = 5×10,000 + 10×40,000 = 50,000 + 400,000 = 450,000. SD = 670.8. CV = 0.671. Check options: none matches, so recompute carefully: 670.8/1,000 = 0.671.

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