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FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Factor Theory

An analyst builds a momentum signal for a universe of stocks. Which construction is most consistent with the conventional momentum factor used in academic and practitioner research?

The conventional momentum factor ranks stocks on the past 12-month return excluding the latest month, buying winners and shorting losers. Skipping the most recent month avoids the short-term reversal effect, which would contaminate the signal.

  1. ARank stocks on the cumulative return over the prior 12 months excluding the most recent month, going long winners and short losersCorrect
  2. BRank stocks on the cumulative return over the most recent month only, going long winners and short losers
  3. CRank stocks on the prior 12-month return including the latest month, going long losers and short winners
  4. DRank stocks on book-to-market ratio over the prior 12 months, going long high ratios and short low ratios

Explanation

Conventional momentum uses past 12-month returns skipping the most recent month, to avoid the short-term reversal effect, and buys winners while shorting losers. Using only the last month captures reversal, not momentum. Going long losers reverses the sign. Book-to-market is a value signal.

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