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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Arbitrage, Replication, and the Cost of Carry in Pricing Derivatives

An investor compares the no-arbitrage forward price of a contract on a non-dividend-paying stock with the current spot price. Holding all else constant, the forward price is most likely higher than the spot price because:

The forward price exceeds spot because holding the underlying until delivery costs foregone interest at the risk-free rate. With no dividends or other benefits to offset it, no-arbitrage pricing compounds the spot price at the risk-free rate, so the forward is higher.

  1. Athe risk-free rate is positive, so carrying the stock costs foregone interestCorrect
  2. Bthe stock has no convenience yield
  3. Cthe forward buyer bears the stock's price risk

Explanation

Buying the asset today requires funding, which costs the risk-free rate. With no benefits from holding the stock, the forward price is S0(1+r)^T, which exceeds spot when r is positive. The risk-bearing explanation is wrong because forward prices come from arbitrage, not from risk compensation.

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