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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Economic Modelling · Models of the term structure of interest rates

Continuously compounded spot rates are 4% for 1 year and 5% for 2 years. What is the continuously compounded forward rate for the year from time 1 to time 2?

The forward rate for year two is 6%. Under continuous compounding, the two-year spot rate times two, which is 10%, minus the one-year spot rate times one, which is 4%, gives 6% over the single year between times one and two.

  1. A4.5%
  2. B5.0%
  3. C5.5%
  4. D6.0%Correct
  5. 9.0%

Explanation

Forward rate = (2×5% − 1×4%)/(2−1) = 10% − 4% = 6%. Option A is the simple average of the spot rates, which ignores the longer holding period weighting.

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