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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Capital Flows and the FX Market

Expected inflation is 5.0% in Country A and 2.0% in Country B. According to relative purchasing power parity, the currency of Country A is most likely expected to:

Country A's currency is expected to depreciate by about 3.0% against Country B's currency. Relative purchasing power parity says the currency of the higher-inflation country weakens by roughly the inflation differential, here 5.0% minus 2.0%, so that real exchange rates stay constant.

  1. Aappreciate by about 3.0% against Country B's currency
  2. Bdepreciate by about 3.0% against Country B's currencyCorrect
  3. Cremain unchanged against Country B's currency

Explanation

Relative PPP says the change in the exchange rate roughly offsets the inflation differential. The higher-inflation currency is expected to depreciate by about the difference, 5.0% - 2.0% = 3.0%. Appreciation reverses the sign of the differential.

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