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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Multivariate Random Variables

Given X=0, Y equals 0 or 10 with equal probability. Given X=1, Y equals 10 or 20 with equal probability. X=0 and X=1 each have probability 0.5. What is Var(Y)?

Var(Y) is 50, which is not listed.

  1. A25.0
  2. B50.0
  3. C62.5Correct
  4. D75.0

Explanation

Conditional means: 5 and 15, so E[Y]=10. Conditional variances: each is 25 (outcomes 5 away from the mean), so E[Var(Y|X)]=25. Var(E[Y|X])=0.5(25)+0.5(25)=25. Total variance via the law of total variance is 25+25=50. Check directly: Y takes 0,10,10,20 with probabilities 0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25; variance=(100+0+0+100)/4=50.

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