IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Economic Modelling · Models of the term structure of interest rates
In a Heath–Jarrow–Morton (HJM) model, which feature is a key reason it is described as modelling the whole yield curve directly?
HJM models the evolution of the whole forward rate curve, with the drift fixed by no-arbitrage once the volatility structure is chosen. This lets it fit the initial yield curve exactly, unlike single short-rate models.
- AIt models the short rate as a single mean-reverting process only
- BIt models the evolution of the entire instantaneous forward rate curve, with the drift determined by the volatility structure under no-arbitrageCorrect
- CIt assumes forward rates are constant over time
- DIt requires the yield curve to be flat
- It models bond prices as independent of one another
Explanation
HJM specifies the dynamics of f(t,T) for all T. No-arbitrage under the risk-neutral measure fixes the drift in terms of the volatilities, so only volatilities need to be specified. The other options contradict this.
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