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CA Foundation · Quantitative Aptitude · Probability

In Bayes' theorem, the probability P(A | B) of a cause A given that an effect B has occurred is called which of the following?

P(A | B) is the posterior probability. It is the revised probability of a cause after the outcome has been observed, obtained through Bayes' theorem. The prior probability is the one assigned to the cause before any outcome was known.

  1. APrior probability
  2. BPosterior probabilityCorrect
  3. CJoint probability
  4. DMarginal probability

Explanation

Bayes' theorem revises the prior probability of a cause after an outcome is observed. The revised value P(A | B) is called the posterior (or revised) probability. The prior is the probability before the outcome is known.

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