ACCA Strategic Professional · Strategic Business Leader · Identification, assessment and measurement of risk
Kestrel Foods plans to rank its risks on a two-by-two grid. A supplier failure is judged to be unlikely to happen but would halt production for months if it did. Under a standard likelihood and impact matrix, how should this risk be classified and treated?
The supplier failure is a low likelihood, high impact risk. Such risks are normally addressed through contingency planning, insurance or alternative suppliers, because although unlikely, the consequences would be severe. Routine controls or simple acceptance would leave the company exposed to a catastrophic disruption.
- ALow likelihood, high impact: usually managed by contingency planning or transferring the risk, such as insurance or alternative suppliersCorrect
- BHigh likelihood, low impact: usually managed by routine controls and accepted
- CLow likelihood, low impact: usually ignored and not monitored at all
- DHigh likelihood, high impact: usually avoided by exiting the business
Explanation
The risk has a low chance of occurring but severe consequences. In a likelihood/impact matrix this quadrant is typically handled by contingency plans, sharing or transferring the risk. Treating it as routine ignores the severity of the impact.
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