CMA Final · Strategic Cost Management · Decision Making using Probability
Project X yields profit of ₹100 lakh, ₹200 lakh or ₹300 lakh with probabilities 0.2, 0.5 and 0.3 respectively. What is its coefficient of variation?
The coefficient of variation is 33.3%. The expected profit is ₹210 lakh and the variance is 4,900, giving a standard deviation of ₹70 lakh. Dividing the standard deviation by the mean gives one-third, or 33.3%.
- A23.3%
- B40.0%
- C70.0%
- D33.3%Correct
Explanation
Mean = 20 + 100 + 90 = 210. Variance = 0.2×110² + 0.5×10² + 0.3×90² = 2,420 + 50 + 2,430 = 4,900, so standard deviation = 70. CV = 70/210 = 33.3%. Quoting 70 as a percentage ignores division by the mean.
Did you get it right without looking?
One question tells you little. A timed set on Decision Making using Probability shows your real accuracy, how long you take and where you lose marks.
More Decision Making using Probability questions
- A Pune bakery can bake 100 loaves daily. Daily demand is 80 loaves with probability 0.4 and 100 loaves with probability 0.6. What is the exp…
- Mehta Bakers can bake 100, 200 or 300 loaves daily. Each loaf costs Rs 20 and sells for Rs 50; unsold loaves are worthless. Daily demand is …
- Ananya Traders stocks a seasonal item bought at Rs 40 and sold at Rs 70. Unsold units are disposed of at Rs 25 each. Demand has been estimat…
- A Pune bakery can bake 100, 200 or 300 cakes for a festival day. Each cake sold earns a contribution of Rs 40, and each unsold cake is a los…
- Profits (₹ lakh) of three options under three states are: A1: 50, 30, 20; A2: 40, 45, 25; A3: 30, 35, 60. Using the minimax regret criterion…
- A decision tree node offers a launch costing Rs 6 lakh. Success (probability 0.4) brings inflows of Rs 20 lakh; failure brings Rs 4 lakh. Wh…