Skip to content

IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis · Concepts of survival models

Under a Gompertz model the force of mortality is μ(x) = B·c^x. Which statement about the force of mortality is correct?

Under Gompertz, the force of mortality is multiplied by the constant c each year of age, so when c exceeds 1 it grows exponentially. Equivalently, its logarithm is linear in age.

  1. AIt is constant in x
  2. BIt increases linearly with x
  3. CIt changes by a constant proportion for each additional year of age (when c > 1, it grows exponentially)Correct
  4. DIt decreases with age when c > 1
  5. Its logarithm is quadratic in x

Explanation

μ(x+1)/μ(x) = c, so the force changes by a constant factor each year, and for c > 1 it grows exponentially. Its log, ln B + x ln c, is linear in x, not quadratic.

Did you get it right without looking?

One question tells you little. A timed set on Concepts of survival models shows your real accuracy, how long you take and where you lose marks.

More Concepts of survival models questions