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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Statistics · Central limit theorem

X is an integer-valued random variable with a distribution well approximated by a normal distribution Y. Which statement gives the correct continuity-corrected approximation of P(12 < X ≤ 20)?

The correct approximation is P(12.5 < Y < 20.5). Because X is an integer, 12 < X ≤ 20 means X takes the values 13 to 20. Each integer k occupies the interval from k − 0.5 to k + 0.5, so the continuous range is 12.5 to 20.5.

  1. AP(11.5 < Y < 20.5)
  2. BP(12.5 < Y < 20.5)Correct
  3. CP(12.5 < Y < 19.5)
  4. DP(12 < Y < 20)
  5. P(13.5 < Y < 20.5)

Explanation

For integer X, 12 < X ≤ 20 is the same as 13 ≤ X ≤ 20. Each integer k is represented by the interval (k − 0.5, k + 0.5), so the range runs from 12.5 to 20.5. The option 11.5 to 20.5 wrongly includes 12, and 12.5 to 19.5 wrongly drops 20.

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