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FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Regression Hedging and Principal Component Analysis

A portfolio has exposures to two PCA factors. Factor 1 has a standard deviation of 8 bp per day and factor 2 has a standard deviation of 3 bp per day. The portfolio's sensitivities are USD 50,000 per bp for factor 1 and USD 100,000 per bp for factor 2. Principal components are uncorrelated. What is the portfolio's one-day standard deviation of P&L?

The one-day P&L standard deviation is USD 500,000. Factor contributions are 400,000 and 300,000, and because principal components are uncorrelated they combine as the square root of the sum of squares, not by simple addition.

  1. AUSD 500,000Correct
  2. BUSD 700,000
  3. CUSD 300,000
  4. DUSD 1,200,000

Explanation

Factor 1 P&L sd = 50,000 x 8 = 400,000. Factor 2 sd = 100,000 x 3 = 300,000. Uncorrelated, so total = sqrt(400,000^2 + 300,000^2) = 500,000. Simply adding gives 700,000, which wrongly assumes perfect correlation.

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