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CMA Final · Strategic Financial Management · Evaluation of Risky Proposals for Investment Decisions

A project of Arjun Auto has a base-case NPV of Rs 12 lakh. The present value of annual sales-linked inflows is Rs 80 lakh. Management wants to know by what percentage the PV of these inflows can fall before the NPV becomes zero, all else constant. What is the sensitivity margin?

The PV of inflows can fall by 15% before NPV reaches zero. NPV of Rs 12 lakh is the cushion, and dividing it by the Rs 80 lakh present value of inflows gives 15%.

  1. A12%
  2. B15%Correct
  3. C8%
  4. D18.75%

Explanation

NPV becomes zero when PV of inflows falls by Rs 12 lakh. Percentage = 12/80 = 15%. Using 12/(80-12)=17.6% would wrongly use the outlay-based base.

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