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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Hypothesis Testing

Holding the sample size and true parameter value fixed, a researcher lowers the significance level of a two-sided z-test from 5% to 1%. Which is the effect on the test?

Type I error probability falls and power falls. A stricter 1% level widens the non-rejection region, so the test rejects less often, including when the null is false, which raises the Type II error probability and lowers power.

  1. AProbability of Type I error falls and power fallsCorrect
  2. BProbability of Type I error falls and power rises
  3. CProbability of Type I error rises and power falls
  4. DProbability of Type II error falls and power rises

Explanation

A lower significance level means a smaller Type I error probability and a larger critical value, making rejection harder. With the sample size fixed, the Type II error probability rises, so power falls. The trade-off is why alpha cannot be cut without cost.

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