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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Statistics · Linear regression models

In the multiple linear regression model Y = Xβ + ε, where X is an n × p design matrix of full column rank (including a column of ones) and the errors are uncorrelated with mean 0 and variance σ², which expression gives the least squares estimator of β?

The least squares estimator is (XᵀX)⁻¹Xᵀy. It solves the normal equations XᵀXβ = Xᵀy obtained by minimising the residual sum of squares. The expression X(XᵀX)⁻¹Xᵀy is instead the vector of fitted values.

  1. A(XᵀX)⁻¹XᵀyCorrect
  2. BX(XᵀX)⁻¹Xᵀy
  3. C(XXᵀ)⁻¹Xᵀy
  4. D(XᵀX)Xᵀy
  5. Xᵀ(XᵀX)⁻¹y

Explanation

Minimising the sum of squared residuals (y−Xβ)ᵀ(y−Xβ) gives the normal equations XᵀXβ = Xᵀy. With XᵀX invertible, β̂ = (XᵀX)⁻¹Xᵀy. Option B is the fitted values vector, not the coefficients.

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